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Grade 7 Maths · Unit 5: Probability

Tree diagrams

Use tree diagrams to find probabilities of two events.

A tree diagram shows two events one after the other. Each branch is labelled with its probability, and the branches from one point add up to 1.

To find the probability of a path, multiply along the branches. To combine several paths, add their probabilities. For a fair coin flipped twice, P(two heads) = 1/2 × 1/2 = 1/4, and P(at least one head) = 1 − P(no heads) = 1 − 1/4 = 3/4.

Worked example

A fair coin is flipped twice. What is the probability of one head and one tail?

  1. Two paths: HT and TH. Each is 1/2 × 1/2 = 1/4.
  2. Add the paths: 1/4 + 1/4.

Answer:1/2

Key words

branch
a line for one outcome
multiply along
for 'and' on one path
add down
for 'or' across different paths
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Common Core-referenced: 7.SP.C.8b