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Grade 7 Maths · Unit 5: Probability

Expected frequency

Predict how many times something should happen.

If you know the probability of an event, you can predict how often it should happen. Expected frequency = probability × number of trials.

A spinner lands on red with probability 0.25. Spun 64 times, you expect about 0.25 × 64 = 16 reds. Real results vary, so the expected frequency is the best estimate, not a promise. Relative frequency, the number of times it happened ÷ the number of trials, gets closer to the probability as you do more trials.

Worked example

A fair die is rolled 60 times. How many sixes would you expect?

  1. P(six) = 1/6.
  2. 1/6 × 60 = 10.

Answer:10 sixes

Key words

trial
one go of an experiment
expected frequency
how many times you expect an event
relative frequency
the fraction of trials when it happened
Practise this

New questions every time.

Common Core-referenced: 7.SP.C.6